What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – July 1, 2013

Jul 1, 2013

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – July 1, 2013The past week was active for economic news and mortgage rates.   After a rising significantly earlier in the week mortgage interest rates ended the week almost unchanged from the close of the prior week.

Here’s the scoop on last week’s activity affecting real estate markets:

Tuesday’s Case-Shiller Composite Indices for April demonstrate the momentum of recovery in many housing markets. As of April, national home prices had increased by 12.10 percent as compared to April 2012. April’s reading also exceeded March’s reading of 10.10 percent year-over-year.

FHFA released its home prices report for April and noted that the average price for homes with mortgages owned by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac increased by 7.40 percent, which slightly surpassed the March reading of 7.20 percent.

The Department of Commerce released New Home Sales for May and reported 476,000 new homes sold on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis. This exceeded expectations of 453,000 new home sales and also surpassed April’s reading of 454,000 new homes sold.

Wednesday brought the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report for the first quarter of 2013. The GDP grew by 1.80 percent against expectations of 2.40 percent and the previous quarter’s growth, also 2.40 percent.

Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) brought the days of bargain basement mortgage rates to a halt as average mortgage rates for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage moved from last week’s 3.93 percent to 4.46 percent. Average rates for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage rose from 3.04 percent 3.50 percent. This was the largest weekly jump in mortgage rates in 26 years.

Home buyers may also consider a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage, which provides an average 5 year fixed rate of 2.74 percent.  The fixed mortgage rate converts to an adjustable rate after five years.

The National Association of REALTORS ® reported that Pending Home Sales in May rose by +6.70 percent to their highest level in 6 years.

Last week ended on a positive note with the Consumer Sentiment Index for June beating expectations of 83.0 and coming in at 84.1. May’s reading was 82.1; higher consumer confidence is likely driving demand for available homes.

Whats Ahead This Week

A holiday-shortened week is ahead, and so is the all-important Jobs Report for June.

Date Time (ET) Statistic For Market Expects Prior
07/01/13 10:00:00 AM Construction Spending May 0.50% 0.40%
07/02/13 10:00:00 AM Factory Orders May 2.00% 1.00%
07/03/13 07:30:00 AM Challenger Job Cuts Jun NA -41.20%
07/03/13 08:15:00 AM ADP Employment Change Jun 150K 135K
07/03/13 08:30:00 AM Initial Claims 06/29/13 348K 346K
07/03/13 08:30:00 AM Trade Balance May -$40.8B -$40.3B
07/03/13 10:00:00 AM ISM Services Jun 54 53.7
07/05/13 08:30:00 AM Nonfarm Payrolls Jun 165K 175K
07/05/13 08:30:00 AM Unemployment Rate Jun 7.60% 7.60%
07/05/13 08:30:00 AM Hourly Earnings Jun 0.20% 0.00%
07/05/13 08:30:00 AM Average Workweek Jun 34.5 34.5

Home mortgage rates remain at  historical low levels.  It is a perfect time to consider a home purchase or refinance.

Paul Cantor

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